What are my chances of getting a hit in the Billboard Hot 100?

[Papanate]

Colt Capperrune and other say they produce 150 songs per year. I find I can do 3 songs as a batch in a 10 day session. So this would give me very little time off. I have not gone full time yet so I have no idea if I can sustain it. I find my biggest cause of lost time is people cancelling on me at the last minute.

One thing I know for sure: If I don't try I will not be successful. To do it successfully I have to close down my other activities and commit 100% to producing the best material possible.

I make my living from music - Playing in a Cover Band I do about 175 dates a year - Playing in an Original Band we do about 35 dates year - both make money for me - i also do music for Movies, TV , Adds etc….I have about a 1 every 75 song/music piece success rate - I have to write a lot - I Produce/Engineer and usually handle about 12 bands a year - most of them I don’t make points on - they are often undiscovered and trying to get noticed - I do various other music things - the point be that writing alone you’ll have a 1 in a million chance to getting played - or your song picked up - and that’s if you have superb talent - so while it’s true that if you don’t try you won’t even start the process - if you aren’t independently wealthy - have a sponsor - or good at hustling gigs (or all three) you are whistling in the wind,