Long essay alert! \('o`)/`
But, surely, if you drop the price per download enough, SOMEONE will buy them, right?
Maybe. As a general rule, the more ways you get your music out there, the better. It can only work in your favor. As for what people will pay money for - I may have mentioned this earlier in this thread, but I think it can be helpful to put yourself into the consumer's position. What would
you pay money for? I don't know about you, but I can't buy every CD that I want. I wish I could, but for every CD I purchase, I find at least two more that I wish I could afford. So as the artist, you have to somehow be the person who puts out the "special" product that the average consumer like me will gravitate toward buying, versus putting it on the "Gosh, I need to pick that up at some point" list.
Price is one thing, of course, but great music and a professional package are more important. To me, if I'm buying something online, there's not much difference between $5.00 and $10.00. If your CD is priced at $10.00, shipping included, and I like it, I won't be any less likely to buy it than I would have if it had been priced at $5.00. Part of this is because of the credit card involved - a lump of plastic doesn't feel like cash in hand, and never will. You can use that to your advantage.
I think the rules change if you can get your CD into a physical store. That's a case where I'd slash the price, for a couple of reasons. One, the record store is where impulse buys happen. It's an important market to hit. That's the one area where online buying will never overtake in-person buying, without significant changes. I would say that
maybe 1% of all the CD's I've ever purchased were bought online. Why? Because when I feel like getting a new CD, I want it
now, not a week from now when I'm already in the mood to listen to something or somebody else. Two, I'm just about to move to Florida. Now let's say you live in California, or not in the US at all. Guess who's probably never going to see you play live?
If somebody in your hometown buys your CD and likes it, that's another person who will hopefully attend your shows, and help build a local following. Person A tells two friends "Hey, this CD is really good!", and the tree continues. If I like your CD, that's great, but it's not going to impact your career. So I think it's important to get your CD into local record stores too, if possible. If you can do that, a low price and a snazzy presentation are key. I live right near a university campus at the moment, so I've done lots of record store hunting. It never ceases to amaze me, how many local artists have their CDs in the stores, priced at $15.99 and not selling at all. Well, duh! You'd think they would learn. Give me a cool cover that makes me want to randomly pick your CD up instead of one of the 50 others, give me a low impulse-buy targeted price, and I just might walk out with your album.
That's why I think that you should price your CD differently if you can get it into physical stores. Maybe sell the disc for $9 or $10 online, shipping included, but get it down as low as possible for stores. The store itself will want a cut, I'm sure, but given the reasons that I stated above, I think it's okay if you personally even lose a little bit on every copy sold in stores (in the beginning, of course). The long-term gain could be far more important than making sure you can walk away with $20 or $30 for the 10 copies you were able to place in the local Wherehouse Records.
As for mp3s... I don't think that free downloading is always just about piracy. After all, it's been statistically proven that people who download mp3s go out and buy more albums than people who don't. I'm an example of this. I download lots of music. I have about 25GB of mp3s. When I know a new album is coming out, and I'm interested in it, I'll download it a few weeks before it's in stores. If I like it, I write a glowing review, then go out and buy it. If I don't like it, then I didn't waste any money, and I'll try to make sure that my readers don't either. And in the past, say, year and a half, I've probably purchased at minimum 200 CDs. MANY of those were by artists that I never would have given money to, had I not been able to hear their work for free beforehand. Gone are the days of buying a $15 album because of a great single, and ending up with one good song and ten bad ones. I love that fact. And record companies are aware of it, too. Why don't you see CD-singles in record stores anymore, for the most part? Because free downloading has taken over that avenue of promotion. But mp3s won't replace having the real thing. Not for me, anyway. I don't like the way that mp3s sound, and it's just not the same as having the actual album in your hand.
Well, those are my thoughts...