miroslav
Cosmic Cowboy
and again, I didn't say that people with no talent who suck are just as likely to make it as those that have talent and work hard (with some exceptions) ... obviously you have to have some ability to play and sing or whatever you do ...... what I HAVE said is that working hard and having talent isn't much of a factor in making it since there is a vast overabundance of both. It's luck .... pure and simple.
And I never said that you said it.....but it has been said indirectly (and even directly) in this thread quite a bit and it has woven itself into the discussion.
In the end of your post...you kinda say it too, "It's luck...pure and simple", which implies the other two are not needed.
You raised the point about people with talent working hard and never making it.
OK, I agreed, there are many who go through that...but that point doesn't in any way prove that it's *mostly luck* for those who DO make it, and that talent and hard work wasn't much of a "factor" at all.
I don't see too many artists who fall into that category of making it on pure luck.
We often judge someone's talent based on our own likes/dislikes, so sometimes it's easy to say "He sucks, he must have gotten really lucky to make it like that."....but I think 9 out of 10 times, those people do have talent and they did work hard before their lucky break happened. It was the talent and hard work that set them up for the lucky break.
Anyway...we are each going to believe in whatever works for us, and that's OK.
I certainly don't write/record only with the goal of selling some of my music. I also do it for personal pleasure.
However, I would begin to feel quite apathetic about it all if I thought that no matter how much effort I put in, it would be of little significance, and I would be better off just buying lottery tickets.
I know some people here feel that way...and again, it's their thing...but I do have a goal to get some of my music sold one day.
At this point, I've only put in about 40% effort into the "selling" part, as I've been mostly focusing on the writing/recording and building my studio. I may never sell a single song, but I'm confident that when I do put in 100% toward the selling part...my odds will be much better at getting a "lucky break" than if I just keep it at the 40% level and "wait for luck to find me".
YMMV.......